A from the Mid Autumn Festival Big data show the post market or greet the general market-cashmere mafia

A shares suffered Mid Autumn Festival again? Big data show the holiday market or welcome broad market external market volatility of A shares of the Mid Autumn Festival robbery last week A stock market performance is more strange, on the surface of four Yin and Yang, low volume restricts the market rebound, the market lack of sustained hot, especially the Shanghai Composite Index on Thursday hit a 14 year minimum amplitude record on Friday, in a piece of good news in the sound of diving turned green, one after another fall 5 days, 10 days, 20 day moving average three points. This week, the Mid Autumn Festival approaching, in the U.S. stock market crash, the external market volatility intensified, the pre holiday hedge mood has always been strong A share market will be again "Mid Autumn Festival"? On Friday evening, U.S. stocks fell, and fell Tiaokong "efforts are rare in 3 months. Specifically, the Dow Jones index, the S & P 500 index, the NASDAQ index fell by 2.13%, 2.45%, 2.54%, respectively, the biggest one-day decline since the British referendum this year. German DAX, FTSE and other major European stock indexes also showed a significant decline. As for the reasons for the fall, analysts generally believe that the hawkish remarks of the Federal Reserve officials and the decline in oil prices make the stock market pressure. In addition, the DPRK conducted a nuclear test, causing investor unease, boosting the sell-off of U.S. stocks. On the whole, this week will usher in the mid autumn holiday, A shares only 3 trading days, no new shares issued, the funds will be in the central bank "shorten the length of" under the control of a smooth holiday. However, the recent stock market continues to narrow shocks, up and down dilemma, the external stock market turmoil may make long-term consolidation of A shares to make direction choice. In addition, A shares investors have long holidays plot, taking into account the uncertainty during the holiday, reluctant to hold heavily Festival, so pre holiday shock is the top priority. The Mid Autumn Festival holiday BACKPROBE strong incoming intervention in the market or welcome broad market flush through the historical statistical data, to look at the market in the Mid Autumn Festival: exactly how to go from the flush data back to the test: before the Mid Autumn Festival, the Shanghai index trend on the whole is still relatively weak, from 06 years to 15 years ten years after the trading day, fell a greater probability, and the rise of the trading day up efforts not urgent expectations, of which 08 years ten days before the Mid Autumn Festival radical index fell over 13%, while only five trading days 14 years before the Mid Autumn Festival there have been nearly 5% point rise. And after the festival market is obviously strong, the stock index in the term of the semester rose as high as 80%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose to an average of 2.82%, 08, 09 years after the festival red packets to the most, after the festival a week, the rise is more than 7%. And the 15 days after the festival, the stock index trend is still strong, generally showing the upward trend of concussion. The past ten years, with 80% probability rise after ten days, the festival red envelopes for the most is 10 years, the stock index in the fifteen day after the stock index rose nearly 15% from the statistical data, the conclusion is: the cash holdings or before the festival continues to be the best choice for investors after the Mid Autumn Festival in the stock market will gain more or less. So where are the opportunities for investment?       from data back up, we see the past 6 years, September A股再遭中秋劫? 大数据显示节后市场或迎普涨行情 外围市场波动加剧A股谨防中秋“劫”上周A股市场表现较为诡异,盘面上四阳一阴,成交量低迷制约了大盘反弹空间,市场缺乏持续性热点,尤其是上证综指于周四创出14年来最小振幅纪录后,周五在一片利好消息声中跳水翻绿,接连失守5天、10天、20天均线三道关卡。本周中秋节来临,在美国股市暴跌、外围市场波动加剧的情况下,节前避险情绪一向浓重的A股市场是否会再遭“中秋劫”?上周五晚上,美股“跳空大跌”,且下跌力度为3个月来罕见。具体来看,道琼斯指数、标普500指数、纳斯达克指数分别下跌2.13%、2.45%、2.54%,创出今年英国公投以来的最大单日跌幅。德国DAX、英国富时指数等欧洲主要股指也出现较大幅度下跌。至于下跌原因,分析师普遍认为是联储官员的鹰派言论以及油价下跌令股市承压。此外,朝鲜进行核试验,引发了投资者不安情绪,助推了投资者对美股的抛售。总体上,本周将迎来中秋放假,A股仅有3个交易日,无新股发行,资金面将在央行“缩短放长”的调控下平稳过节。可是,近期股市持续窄幅震荡,上下两难,外围股市动荡有可能使长期盘整的A股做出方向选择。加之,A股投资者都有长假情节,考虑到长假期间的不确定性,不愿意重仓持股过节,因此节前防震是第一要务。中秋节回测强势来袭节后介入市场或迎普涨行情同花顺通过对于历史数据的统计,来看看市场在中秋节前后究竟怎么走:从同花顺数据回测来看:中秋节前上证指数走势总体上还是较为弱势的的,从06年到15年的十年时间里,节后的交易日出现大跌的概率较大,而出现上涨的交易日中上涨力度不急预期,其中08年中秋节前十天指数根式大跌超13%,而仅在14年中秋节前的五个交易日出现过近5%点上涨。而节后市场则明显走强,沪指在节后的一学期里上涨概率高达八成,上证指数上涨幅度平均达到2.82%,08、09年节后红包给的最多,节后一周时间里涨幅都超过了7%。而节后的15天时间里,沪指走势仍较强,总体上呈现的是震荡向上的走势。近十年时间里,有八成概率在节后十个交易日出现上涨,节后红包给的最多的是10年,沪指在节后十五天天沪指上涨幅度近15%、  从统计数据得出的结论是:节前持币节后继续持股或是最优选择,中秋节后投资者将介入股市或多或少会有所收获。  那么投资的机会在哪里?   从数据回测中,我们看到过去6年9月份的涨幅榜位居前列的板块各有千秋,不过如若出现蓝筹行情,像12年以及10年石油矿业开采、有色、证券等板块涨幅最大,如若出现11年的空头行情那么证券、银行板块较为抗跌。而近些年市场的9月份总体上各个板块涨跌互现,如13年传媒大涨,而14年则变成种植业林业,15年则是公交板块。  投资提示:  影响市场走势的因素包括政策面、消息面、经济走势数据、海外市场走势等综合因素,历史数据回测只是市场综合因素在股价上的体现,因此投资者在参考回测数据同时,也要遵循市场波动的规律,谨慎投资。股市早报,投资前瞻,涨停预测,牛股捕捉,尽在微信号【凤凰证券】或者【ifengstock】盘后剖析A股走势,指点明日走势,请关注微信号【复盘大师】或【fupan588】相关的主题文章: