Chen Jingquan the interest rate is the dollar continues to win market support options-fifa14下载

Chen Jingquan: the interest rate is still the option to continue to be $supporting the market review market trend Wednesday morning in Asia, Australia, January leading index fell to -0.4%, the data failed to do well in the Asian session was to suppress the Australian dollar fell again below the 0.7100 test, but in the stock market, the Shanghai Composite Index Wednesday continue to be built, the Shanghai Composite Index closing on Wednesday 2867 points, up 1.08%, driven by the Australian dollar sentiment warmer, appetite support continue upward, upward position 0.7180 days once the test. Afternoon European session, the euro zone short term lack of data, but the European stock market generally made good, in which the German DAX30 index opened slightly adjusted to 9130 points, stabilized after unilateral upward, up nearly 300 points in the day. While in the sharply upward sentiment under the guidance of the euro as a safe haven currency attribute weakened, the euro in Europe was up 1.1180 after the test period difficult, fell to the lowest near 1.1110, but still hold the 1.1100 mark integer. Sterling, the British employment data released in the afternoon, the data show that the British unemployment rate fell to 2.2% in January, the number of unemployed in January decreased by 14 thousand and 800 people, a record low since 1975. But in terms of wage growth, the three month of December, including the bonus average wage, fell to an annual rate of 1.9%, but excluding the bonus, the average wage growth rose to 2.5%. Overall, the UK employment data show good afternoon, drive the pound stabilized upward test 1.4335 position, but because the wage growth has been slow, survey found a British family bank of England [micro-blog] is expected to raise interest rates fell to the lowest since October 2013, and then low weighed pounds sterling continued to decline, the downward trend regression, once fell to 1.4230 position. At night time, the U.S. January housing starts rate dropped to -3.8%, January building permits rose to -0.2%; while the inflation data are more positive, U.S. January producer price index rate rose to -0.2%, core producer price index rose to 0.6%. Return of inflation dynamics, so early because of the weather on the U.S. economy decline worries ease, and continue to drive the market interest rate expectations, plus evening fed published in the January FOMC meeting minutes, although members attitude differentiation, but it is still not ready to withdraw rate hike expectations, 2016 is still the policy interest rate again the dollar support options. Dollar index to get kinetic energy support upward, once tested 97.10 positions, the short-term dollar index is expected to rise under the support of interest rate sentiment. Simple operation suggestions of the euro against the dollar at France will be announced in January consumer price index rate, the market expected inflation will remain unchanged, and the euro zone will be announced 12 menstruation often account, from the previous situation of trade account, current account or will continue to weaken, the euro will continue to suppress the formation of strength. In operation, the euro 1.1150 days concerns resistance, resistance to it, the euro will have the opportunity to test the 1.1100 integer down again, only to fall below the support,.

陈敬全:加息仍是选项 美元继续获市场支撑   回顾市场周三走势,亚洲早盘方面,澳大利亚1月领先指标月率下跌至-0.4%,数据未能造好在亚洲时段一度打压澳元再度回落测试0.7100下方,但在股市上,上证综合指数周三继续有所造好,上证综合指数周三收盘于2867点,上涨1.08%,带动偏好情绪回暖,澳元受到偏好情绪的支撑继续上行,日内一度上行测试0.7180位置。   下午欧洲时段方面,欧元区短期缺乏数据,不过欧洲股市下午普遍造好,其中德国DAX30指数开盘轻微调整至9130点企稳后单边上行,日内大涨近300点。而在大幅上行的偏好情绪引领下,欧元作为避险货币的属性减弱,欧元在欧洲时段一度上行测试1.1180后遇阻,最低跌至1.1110附近,但仍旧守稳1.1100整数关口。英镑方面,下午英国公布就业数据,数据显示,英国1月失业率下跌至2.2%,1月失业率人数减少1.48万人,创1975年以来的新低。不过在薪资增长上,12月三个月包括红利平均工资年率下跌至1.9%,但剔除红利平均工资增长上升至2.5%。总体而言,英国下午就业数据表现良好,带动英镑企稳上行测试1.4335位置,不过由于工资增长始终缓慢,机构调查发现英国家庭对英国央行[微博]加息的预期跌至2013年10月以来的新低,再低打压英镑走低,英镑继续回归下跌趋势,一度回跌至1.4230位置。   晚上美国时段方面,美国1月新屋开工月率下跌至-3.8%,1月营建许可月率上升至-0.2%;而通胀数据上则比较利好,美国1月生产者物价指数年率上升至-0.2%,核心生产者物价指数年率上升至0.6%。通胀力度的回归,令前期因天气原因对美国经济走低的担忧缓解,同时继续带动市场对加息的期待,加上晚上美联储在公布1月的议息会议纪要当中,委员态度虽然分化,但目前仍不准备撤回加息的预期,2016年再度加息仍是政策的选项,令美元获得支撑。美元指数获得动能支撑上行,一度测试97.10位置,短期美元指数仍有望在加息情绪的支持下走高。   简略操作建议   欧元兑美元   下午法国将公布1月消费者物价指数年率,市场预期通胀将维持不变,而欧元区将公布12月经常帐表现,从之前贸易帐情况上看,经常帐表现或会继续疲软,这对欧元将继续形成打压的力度。操作上,欧元日内关注1.1150阻力,继续遇阻的话,欧元将有机会再度下行测试1.1100整数,只有跌破该支撑,欧元下行力度才能增加。   英镑兑美元   英镑方面,下午英国缺乏数据的指引,不过从周三市场的走势力度上看,英镑仍旧维持于下行的趋势当中,下午在没有数据的指引之下,英镑或更加缺乏支撑力度而继续下行。操作上,英镑下午关注隔日高点1.4335位置,继续遇阻的话做空,下行阻力仍是1.4230,跌破该点英镑才能加速。   黄金   日内美国将公布1月咨商会领先及同步指标月率,同时将公布2月非诚练出制造业指数,市场预期数据将有所改善,同时我们必须关注欧美股市的表现,若股市继续表现强势,黄金短期也难以有大幅上行的动能,暂时黄金更多倾向于震荡的力度。操作上,黄金关注1215美元阻力,若继续遇阻的话,我们继续做空,下行阻力关注1200美元整数关口,只有跌破黄金才有新的动能出现。   陈敬全 钰佳首席分析师 新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: